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AI
72
Elon Musk
21
Elma
10
SpaceX
20
OpenAI
29
Research
1
FDA
17
Büyük Teknoloji
120
TikTok
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Bilim ve Teknoloji
Bilim ve Teknoloji
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TikTok
OpenAI IPO by...?
30 Haziran 2027
51%
Evet
51%
Hayır
49%
March 31, 2027
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
31 Aralık 2026
16%
Evet
16%
Hayır
84%
30 Eylül 2026
1%
Evet
1%
Hayır
99%
31 Ağustos 2026
0%
Evet
0%
Hayır
100%
$2.9M Vol.
GPT -6… tarafından piyasaya sürüldü mü?
31 Aralık 2026
68%
Evet
68%
Hayır
32%
30 Kasım 2026
60%
Evet
60%
Hayır
40%
31 Ekim 2026
48%
Evet
48%
Hayır
52%
30 Eylül 2026
30%
Evet
30%
Hayır
70%
15 Eylül 2026
23%
Evet
23%
Hayır
77%
31 Ağustos 2026
1%
Evet
1%
Hayır
99%
$1.6M Vol.
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
October 31
95%
Yes
95%
No
5%
September 30
88%
Yes
88%
No
12%
Successful splash down?
86%
Yes
86%
No
14%
Super Heavy booster explodes?
83%
Yes
83%
No
17%
September 15
26%
Yes
26%
No
74%
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
$410k Vol.
#1 Searched Movie on Google 2026?
Movie B
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Movie C
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Movie D
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Movie E
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Movie F
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Movie G
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$169k Vol.
#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?
Person 1
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Person 2
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Person 3
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Person 4
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Person 5
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Person 6
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$124k Vol.
In which month will Anthropic IPO?
October 2026
83%
Yes
83%
No
17%
September 2026
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
December 2026
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
No IPO before 2028
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
November 2026
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
June 2027
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$103k Vol.
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
December 31, 2027
68%
Yes
68%
No
32%
June 30, 2027
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
$75k Vol.
#1 Searched Passing on Google in the US 2026?
Person 3
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Person 4
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Person 5
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Person 6
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Person 7
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Person 8
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$67k Vol.
Situational Awareness raises new capital by...?
October 31
21%
Yes
21%
No
79%
August 31
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$53k Vol.
#1 Searched Athlete on Google 2026?
Athlete 20
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Athlete 21
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Athlete 22
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Athlete 23
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Athlete 24
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Athlete 25
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$46k Vol.
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?
88%
chance
Yes
No
$41k Vol.
Private Companies - greatest valuation growth August 2026
Anthropic
90%
Yes
90%
No
10%
Databricks
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
ByteDance
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
OpenAI
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
Stripe
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$35k Vol.
OpenAI’s valuation end of August 2026?
$900B-$1.00T
77%
Yes
77%
No
23%
$800-$900B
22%
Yes
22%
No
78%
$1.00-$1.10T
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
<$600B
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$1.10-$1.20T
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$1.30T+
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$20k Vol.
Meta’s Market Cap end of August 2026?
$1.25-$1.50T
81%
Yes
81%
No
19%
$1.50-$1.75T
18%
Yes
18%
No
82%
$2.00-$2.25T
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$1.75-$2.00T
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$1.00-$1.25T
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
<$1.00T
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$17k Vol.
What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
$2.00–$2.25T
59%
Yes
59%
No
41%
$1.75–$2.00T
33%
Yes
33%
No
67%
$2.25–$2.50T
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
$1.25–$1.50T
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$2.50T+
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$15k Vol.
3rd largest private company end of August?
Databricks
93%
Yes
93%
No
7%
Stripe
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
Anduril
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
Lambda
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Canva
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Anthropic
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$15k Vol.
GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?
$1.00-$1.25
62%
Yes
62%
No
38%
$0.75-$1.00
25%
Yes
25%
No
75%
$1.25-$1.50
13%
Yes
13%
No
87%
$1.50+
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$0.50-$0.75
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
<$0.50
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$14k Vol.
GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?
$6.50+
39%
Yes
39%
No
61%
$6.00-$6.50
27%
Yes
27%
No
73%
$5.50-$6.00
17%
Yes
17%
No
83%
$5.00-$5.50
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
$4.50-$5.00
7%
Yes
7%
No
93%
<$4.50
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
$13k Vol.
GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?
$4.00-$4.50
26%
Yes
26%
No
74%
$4.50-$5.00
23%
Yes
23%
No
77%
$5.50+
18%
Yes
18%
No
82%
$3.50-$4.00
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
$5.00-$5.50
11%
Yes
11%
No
89%
<$3.50
7%
Yes
7%
No
93%
$13k Vol.
GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?
$2.50-$2.75
26%
Yes
26%
No
74%
$2.75-$3.00
25%
Yes
25%
No
75%
$3.00+
18%
Yes
18%
No
82%
$2.25-$2.50
17%
Yes
17%
No
83%
$2.00-$2.25
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
<$2.00
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
$13k Vol.
3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Company A
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company B
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company C
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company D
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company E
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company F
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$13k Vol.
Meta (META) closes week of Aug 24 at ___?
$570-$580
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
$580-$590
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
<$510
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$590-$600
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$560-$570
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
>$600
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$13k Vol.
Weekly
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?
$0.50-$0.55
34%
Yes
34%
No
66%
$0.45-$0.50
23%
Yes
23%
No
77%
$0.60+
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
$0.55-$0.60
13%
Yes
13%
No
87%
$0.40-$0.45
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
<$0.40
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$12k Vol.
#2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?
HotSchedules
96%
Yes
96%
No
4%
App B
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
App C
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
App D
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
App E
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
App F
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$12k Vol.
NVIDIA (NVDA) Q2 adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP)?
74%-76%
92%
Yes
92%
No
8%
72%-74%
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
76%-78%
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
<72%
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
78%+
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$11k Vol.
OpenAI’s valuation end of September 2026?
$900B-$1.00T
56%
Yes
56%
No
44%
$800-$900B
30%
Yes
30%
No
70%
$1.00-$1.10T
16%
Yes
16%
No
84%
$1.20-$1.30T
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
$1.10-$1.20T
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$600-$700B
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$11k Vol.
What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (August 7)
Nvidia
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
IPO
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
Anthropic 5+ times
98%
Yes
98%
No
2%
Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times
97%
Yes
97%
No
3%
Software
97%
Yes
97%
No
3%
SpaceX 3+ times
97%
Yes
97%
No
3%
$11k Vol.
#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 21?
Shadowrocket
91%
Yes
91%
No
9%
App A
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
App B
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
App C
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
App D
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
App E
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$10k Vol.
Largest private company end of August?
Anthropic
96%
Yes
96%
No
4%
OpenAI
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Anduril
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Perplexity
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Kraken
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Neuralink
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$10k Vol.
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Company B
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company C
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company D
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company E
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company F
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company G
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$10k Vol.
2nd largest private company end of August?
OpenAI
94%
Yes
94%
No
6%
Stripe
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
Anthropic
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
Neuralink
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
Kraken
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
Canva
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$9k Vol.
Meta’s Market Cap end of September 2026?
$1.25-$1.50T
48%
Yes
48%
No
52%
$1.50-$1.75T
42%
Yes
42%
No
58%
$2.00-$2.25T
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
$1.75-$2.00T
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
$1.00-$1.25T
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
$2.25T+
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
$8k Vol.
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