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15
AI
72
Elon Musk
21
Elma
10
SpaceX
20
OpenAI
29
Research
1
FDA
17
Büyük Teknoloji
120
TikTok
0
Bilim ve Teknoloji
Bilim ve Teknoloji
All
AI
Elon Musk
Elma
SpaceX
OpenAI
Research
FDA
Büyük Teknoloji
TikTok
Largest Company end of July?
NVIDIA
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
Company D
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company B
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company H
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company I
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company N
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$7.6M Vol.
Largest Company end of August?
NVIDIA
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
Company A
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company B
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company C
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company D
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company E
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$2.9M Vol.
OpenAI IPO by...?
March 31, 2027
56%
Yes
56%
No
44%
30 Haziran 2027
54%
Evet
54%
Hayır
46%
31 Aralık 2026
14%
Evet
14%
Hayır
86%
30 Eylül 2026
1%
Evet
1%
Hayır
99%
31 Ağustos 2026
0%
Evet
0%
Hayır
100%
$2.9M Vol.
GPT -6… tarafından piyasaya sürüldü mü?
31 Aralık 2026
73%
Evet
73%
Hayır
27%
30 Kasım 2026
69%
Evet
69%
Hayır
31%
31 Ekim 2026
64%
Evet
64%
Hayır
36%
30 Eylül 2026
50%
Evet
50%
Hayır
50%
15 Eylül 2026
38%
Evet
38%
Hayır
62%
31 Ağustos 2026
1%
Evet
1%
Hayır
99%
$1.7M Vol.
Largest Company end of September?
NVIDIA
92%
Yes
92%
No
8%
Company F
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company G
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company H
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company I
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company J
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$919k Vol.
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13
July 27
88%
Yes
88%
No
12%
July 26
87%
Yes
87%
No
13%
July 25
83%
Yes
83%
No
17%
July 24
76%
Yes
76%
No
24%
$708k Vol.
2nd Largest Company end of August?
Apple
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
Company A
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company B
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company C
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company D
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company E
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$537k Vol.
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
October 31
96%
Yes
96%
No
4%
Successful splash down?
86%
Yes
86%
No
14%
Super Heavy booster explodes?
84%
Yes
84%
No
16%
September 30
81%
Yes
81%
No
19%
September 15
18%
Yes
18%
No
82%
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
$424k Vol.
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by...?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$408k Vol.
3rd Largest Company end of July?
Alphabet
96%
Yes
96%
No
4%
Company B
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company G
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company A
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company F
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company K
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$393k Vol.
3rd Largest Company end of August?
Alphabet
99%
Yes
99%
No
1%
Company A
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company B
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company C
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company D
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company E
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$365k Vol.
OpenAI... tarihine kadar bir tüketici donanım ürünü piyasaya sürecek mi?
31 Aralık 2026
27%
Evet
27%
Hayır
73%
31 Ekim 2026
8%
Evet
8%
Hayır
92%
$356k Vol.
Elon Musk Net Worth on July 31?
<$0.70T
89%
Yes
89%
No
11%
$0.70-$0.80T
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
$0.80-$0.90T
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$0.90-$1.00T
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$1.00-$1.10T
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$237k Vol.
In which month will Anthropic IPO?
October 2026
83%
Yes
83%
No
17%
September 2026
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
December 2026
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
No IPO before 2028
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
November 2026
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
June 2027
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$103k Vol.
3rd Largest Company end of September?
Alphabet
76%
Yes
76%
No
24%
Company B
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company C
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company D
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company E
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company F
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$95k Vol.
Elon Musk Net Worth on August 31?
$800-$900B
83%
Yes
83%
No
17%
$900B-$1.00T
11%
Yes
11%
No
89%
$700-$800B
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
$1.00-$1.10T
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$600-$700B
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
<$600B
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$83k Vol.
GTA VI: PS5 Launch Price
$60+
97%
Yes
97%
No
3%
$70+
96%
Yes
96%
No
4%
$80+
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
$77k Vol.
2nd Largest Company end of September?
Apple
82%
Yes
82%
No
18%
Company B
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company C
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company D
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company E
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company F
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$66k Vol.
Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 revenue (USD) be above __?
$40B
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
$39B
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
$42B
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$41B
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$43B
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$35k Vol.
Deepseek IPO by...?
December 31, 2027
89%
Yes
89%
No
11%
September 30, 2027
77%
Yes
77%
No
23%
June 30, 2027
53%
Yes
53%
No
47%
March 31, 2027
30%
Yes
30%
No
70%
December 31, 2026
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
$20k Vol.
OpenAI’s valuation end of August 2026?
$900B-$1.00T
77%
Yes
77%
No
23%
$800-$900B
22%
Yes
22%
No
78%
$1.00-$1.10T
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
<$600B
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$1.10-$1.20T
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$1.30T+
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$20k Vol.
What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
$2.00–$2.25T
59%
Yes
59%
No
41%
$1.75–$2.00T
33%
Yes
33%
No
67%
$2.25–$2.50T
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
$1.25–$1.50T
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$2.50T+
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$15k Vol.
What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (July 1)
52%
chance
Yes
No
$13k Vol.
3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Company A
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company B
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company C
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company D
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company E
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company F
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$13k Vol.
#2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?
HotSchedules
96%
Yes
96%
No
4%
App B
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
App C
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
App D
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
App E
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
App F
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$12k Vol.
NVIDIA (NVDA) Q2 adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP)?
74%-76%
92%
Yes
92%
No
8%
72%-74%
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
76%-78%
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
<72%
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
78%+
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$11k Vol.
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?
ChatGPT
78%
Yes
78%
No
22%
App B
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
App C
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
App D
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
App E
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
App F
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$11k Vol.
OpenAI’s valuation end of September 2026?
$900B-$1.00T
56%
Yes
56%
No
44%
$800-$900B
30%
Yes
30%
No
70%
$1.00-$1.10T
16%
Yes
16%
No
84%
$1.20-$1.30T
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
$1.10-$1.20T
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$600-$700B
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$11k Vol.
What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (August 7)
Nvidia
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
IPO
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
Anthropic 5+ times
98%
Yes
98%
No
2%
Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times
97%
Yes
97%
No
3%
Software
97%
Yes
97%
No
3%
SpaceX 3+ times
97%
Yes
97%
No
3%
$11k Vol.
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?
TikTok Pro - Events
59%
Yes
59%
No
41%
App B
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
App C
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
App D
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
App E
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
App F
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$11k Vol.
#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 21?
Shadowrocket
91%
Yes
91%
No
9%
App A
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
App B
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
App C
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
App D
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
App E
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$10k Vol.
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Company B
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company C
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company D
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company E
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company F
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company G
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$10k Vol.
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