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15
AI
72
Elon Musk
21
Elma
10
SpaceX
20
OpenAI
29
Research
1
FDA
17
Büyük Teknoloji
120
TikTok
0
Bilim ve Teknoloji
Bilim ve Teknoloji
All
AI
Elon Musk
Elma
SpaceX
OpenAI
Research
FDA
Büyük Teknoloji
TikTok
En büyük Şirket Haziran sonu mu?
NVIDIA
99%
Evet
99%
Hayır
1%
Alfabe
1%
Evet
1%
Hayır
99%
Apple
0%
Evet
0%
Hayır
100%
Microsoft
0%
Evet
0%
Hayır
100%
Tesla
0%
Evet
0%
Hayır
100%
Amazon
0%
Evet
0%
Hayır
100%
$23.1M Vol.
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
MGM Resorts
36%
Yes
36%
No
64%
Perplexity AI
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
Lovable
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
Brown-Forman
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
Viking Therapeutics
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
Snapchat
13%
Yes
13%
No
87%
$18.2M Vol.
Haziran sonunda hangi şirket en iyi yapay zeka modeline sahip?
Anthropic
96%
Evet
96%
Hayır
4%
Google
3%
Evet
3%
Hayır
97%
OpenAI
1%
Evet
1%
Hayır
99%
xAI
0%
Evet
0%
Hayır
100%
Z.ai
0%
Evet
0%
Hayır
100%
DeepSeek
0%
Evet
0%
Hayır
100%
$16.2M Vol.
Claude 5… tarafından serbest bırakıldı mı?
30 Eylül 2026
70%
Evet
70%
Hayır
30%
30 Haziran 2026
21%
Evet
21%
Hayır
79%
$4.0M Vol.
OpenAI IPO by...?
March 31, 2027
56%
Yes
56%
No
44%
30 Haziran 2027
54%
Evet
54%
Hayır
46%
31 Aralık 2026
14%
Evet
14%
Hayır
86%
30 Eylül 2026
1%
Evet
1%
Hayır
99%
31 Ağustos 2026
0%
Evet
0%
Hayır
100%
$2.9M Vol.
Haziran sonunda hangi şirketin en iyi yapay zeka modeli var? (Stil Kontrolü Açık)
Antropic
96%
Evet
96%
Hayır
4%
Google
2%
Evet
2%
Hayır
98%
OpenAI
2%
Evet
2%
Hayır
98%
DeepSeek
0%
Evet
0%
Hayır
100%
Alibaba
0%
Evet
0%
Hayır
100%
Meta
0%
Evet
0%
Hayır
100%
$2.0M Vol.
Antropik Halka Arz Kapanış Piyasa Değeri
30 Haziran 2026'ya kadar halka arz yok
100%
Evet
100%
Hayır
0%
600 milyar+
0%
Evet
0%
Hayır
100%
400–600B
0%
Evet
0%
Hayır
100%
<100B
0%
Evet
0%
Hayır
100%
200–300 Milyar
0%
Evet
0%
Hayır
100%
100–200B
0%
Evet
0%
Hayır
100%
$1.7M Vol.
GPT -6… tarafından piyasaya sürüldü mü?
31 Aralık 2026
73%
Evet
73%
Hayır
27%
30 Kasım 2026
69%
Evet
69%
Hayır
31%
31 Ekim 2026
64%
Evet
64%
Hayır
36%
30 Eylül 2026
50%
Evet
50%
Hayır
50%
15 Eylül 2026
38%
Evet
38%
Hayır
62%
31 Ağustos 2026
1%
Evet
1%
Hayır
99%
$1.7M Vol.
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
OpenAI
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
DeepSeek
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Z.ai
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Baidu
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Nvidia
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Meituan
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$1.7M Vol.
Gemini 3.5 released by...?
July 31
40%
Yes
40%
No
60%
June 30
20%
Yes
20%
No
80%
May 31
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
$1.0M Vol.
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$991k Vol.
Haziran sonunda hangi şirket ikinci en iyi yapay zeka modeline sahip?
Anthropic
93%
Evet
93%
Hayır
7%
Google
3%
Evet
3%
Hayır
97%
OpenAI
3%
Evet
3%
Hayır
97%
DeepSeek
0%
Evet
0%
Hayır
100%
xAI
0%
Evet
0%
Hayır
100%
Z.ai
0%
Evet
0%
Hayır
100%
$648k Vol.
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
600B+
94%
Yes
94%
No
6%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
400–600B
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
<100B
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
300–400B
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
100–200B
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$427k Vol.
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
Clip-on device for clothing
40%
Yes
40%
No
60%
Earbuds/Headphones
17%
Yes
17%
No
83%
Glasses
11%
Yes
11%
No
89%
Necklace
11%
Yes
11%
No
89%
Watch
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
Ring
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
$413k Vol.
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by...?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$408k Vol.
OpenAI... tarihine kadar bir tüketici donanım ürünü piyasaya sürecek mi?
31 Aralık 2026
27%
Evet
27%
Hayır
73%
31 Ekim 2026
8%
Evet
8%
Hayır
92%
$356k Vol.
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
95%
Anthropic
Anthropic
OpenAI
$326k Vol.
Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
50%+
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
55%+
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
60%+
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
$315k Vol.
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
82%
chance
Yes
No
$191k Vol.
Grok 5 'i serbest bırakan...?
1%
Hayır
Evet
Hayır
$175k Vol.
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by...?
5%
chance
Yes
No
$152k Vol.
Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO before 2028
64%
Yes
64%
No
36%
<20B
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
50B–75B
7%
Yes
7%
No
93%
75B–100B
7%
Yes
7%
No
93%
30B–40B
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
100B+
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
$147k Vol.
Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
40%+
69%
Yes
69%
No
31%
45%+
30%
Yes
30%
No
70%
50%+
28%
Yes
28%
No
72%
60%+
11%
Yes
11%
No
89%
$144k Vol.
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?
December 31
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
August 31
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$138k Vol.
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
89%
chance
Yes
No
$121k Vol.
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
0%
chance
Yes
No
$116k Vol.
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
7%
chance
Yes
No
$112k Vol.
In which month will Anthropic IPO?
October 2026
83%
Yes
83%
No
17%
September 2026
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
December 2026
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
No IPO before 2028
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
November 2026
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
June 2027
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$103k Vol.
OpenAI, 2027'den önce AGI'ye ulaştığını duyuruyor mu?
18%
Hayır
Evet
Hayır
$103k Vol.
GPU rental prices (H100) end of July?
$2.60-$2.90
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
$2.30-$2.60
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$2.90-$3.20
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$2.00-$2.30
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$3.20-$3.50
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$3.50+
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$99k Vol.
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
100%
SpaceX
SpaceX
OpenAI
$90k Vol.
GPU rental prices (H200) end of June?
$3.00-$4.00
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
<$3.00
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$7.00+
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$4.00-$5.00
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$5.00-$6.00
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$6.00-$7.00
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$90k Vol.
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